Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.216848 0.250008 0.285710 0.326905 0.373025 0.422960 0.481008
2026-02-08 0.161227 0.205115 0.256262 0.319847 0.396317 0.484844 0.594568
2026-02-15 0.121907 0.170458 0.231435 0.312622 0.416742 0.544555 0.711927
2026-02-22 0.097699 0.149276 0.218690 0.317016 0.450467 0.622796 0.859233
2026-03-01 0.076783 0.128025 0.201775 0.312562 0.471056 0.685400 0.992044
2026-03-08 0.062060 0.112465 0.189732 0.312250 0.496060 0.755042 1.139357
2026-03-15 0.049589 0.097627 0.175961 0.306793 0.512083 0.812561 1.273679
2026-03-22 0.043155 0.091379 0.174345 0.319176 0.555135 0.911548 1.473714
2026-03-29 0.037808 0.085866 0.172864 0.331142 0.598092 1.013039 1.683919
2026-04-05 0.031995 0.078155 0.166201 0.333212 0.624784 1.090986 1.863160
2026-04-12 0.026864 0.070616 0.158514 0.332194 0.645674 1.160599 2.033181
2026-04-19 0.022520 0.063710 0.150817 0.329905 0.663647 1.226078 2.199898
2026-04-26 0.018878 0.057597 0.143848 0.328348 0.683187 1.296303 2.380239
2026-05-03 0.015806 0.052058 0.137119 0.326311 0.701486 1.365517 2.563053
2026-05-10 0.013101 0.046699 0.129813 0.322048 0.714996 1.427082 2.736400
2026-05-17 0.011483 0.043883 0.127797 0.328492 0.749395 1.527386 2.981163
2026-05-24 0.009587 0.039655 0.121634 0.325087 0.763911 1.592610 3.168288
2026-05-31 0.008174 0.036472 0.117461 0.325496 0.785942 1.672662 3.385460
2026-06-07 0.006762 0.032781 0.111243 0.320289 0.795697 1.730109 3.564751
2026-06-14 0.006203 0.031968 0.112672 0.333414 0.845210 1.865750 3.892638
2026-06-21 0.005679 0.031116 0.113843 0.346010 0.894480 2.003480 4.230497
2026-06-28 0.004921 0.029032 0.111040 0.348271 0.921124 2.098318 4.492654
2026-07-05 0.004191 0.026751 0.107181 0.347283 0.940291 2.179214 4.732024